Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.60/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.83
+10% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.7 Crosses 16.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
26.07.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
02.03.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-0
AWAY Hwaseong
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
280 Passes 408
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa nicked a narrow win over Hwaseong 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 43% of the ball to Hwaseong's 57%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.00 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 43%, draw 29%, Hwaseong 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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