Ijsselmeervogels 2-1 Hoek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ijsselmeervogels The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoek The Market 50%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.32/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.99
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +47%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ijsselmeervogels
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Hoek Hoek 2-1 HT 0-1 Ijsselmeervogels Ijsselmeervogels HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ijsselmeervogels
2-1
AWAY Hoek
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ijsselmeervogels squeezed past Hoek 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hoek at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ijsselmeervogels had 44% of the ball to Hoek's 56%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek?

Ijsselmeervogels 2-1 Hoek in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoek win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ijsselmeervogels 28%, draw 22%, Hoek 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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