Kozakken Boys 1-4 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
Over Pick
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
36%
4-5
32%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.3pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.3pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozakken Boys The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta The Market 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.54/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.82
-20% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozakken Boys
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jong Sparta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 1-1 HT 0-0 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys HOLTW
06.04.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 1-0 HT 1-0 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozakken Boys
1-4
AWAY Jong Sparta
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kozakken Boys vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta ran out comfortable winners over Kozakken Boys 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kozakken Boys at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Kozakken Boys had 46% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 54%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kozakken Boys and 1.00 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of Kozakken Boys vs Jong Sparta?

Kozakken Boys 1-4 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozakken Boys vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozakken Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kozakken Boys 54%, draw 17%, Jong Sparta 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kozakken Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kozakken Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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