HHC Hardenberg 4-0 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.07
Over
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
41%
4-5
27%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
HHC Hardenberg win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis The Market 24%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.45/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.75
+30% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 4-0 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
12.04.2025 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
09.11.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 HT 1-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
09.03.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
19.08.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
4-0
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg swept aside Excelsior Maassluis 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had HHC Hardenberg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 61% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 39%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 1.20 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis?

HHC Hardenberg 4-0 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 59%, draw 21%, Excelsior Maassluis 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HHC Hardenberg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
28 Mar 2026
16:00 Rijnsburgse Boys vs De Treffers Analysis →
16:30 ACV vs GVVV Analysis →
16:30 BVV Barendrecht vs Katwijk Analysis →
17:00 Quick Boys vs RKAV Volendam Analysis →
17:00 Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek Analysis →
17:00 Kozakken Boys vs Jong Sparta Analysis →