BVV Barendrecht 2-3 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
42%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.5pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk The Market 49%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.79/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.08
+24% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
419 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Katwijk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Katwijk Katwijk 4-3 HT 2-2 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
01.02.2025 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 1-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
07.09.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 4-1 HT 2-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
2-3
AWAY Katwijk
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk nicked a narrow win over BVV Barendrecht 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 48% of the ball to Katwijk's 52%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katwijk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BVV Barendrecht and 3.33 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs Katwijk?

BVV Barendrecht 2-3 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 34%, draw 23%, Katwijk 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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