Excelsior Maassluis 4-0 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away Pick
55%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.0
Over
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
HHC Hardenberg win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg The Market 56%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.51/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.29
-63% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-1D-2L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
09.11.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 HT 1-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
09.03.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
19.08.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
4-0
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis swept aside HHC Hardenberg 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. HHC Hardenberg carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 51% of the ball to HHC Hardenberg's 49%, shots finished 13-2.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 0.75 for HHC Hardenberg.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs HHC Hardenberg?

Excelsior Maassluis 4-0 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 22%, draw 23%, HHC Hardenberg 55%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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