SV Spakenburg 2-1 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.21
Over
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
36%
4-5
31%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
2.43/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.34
+26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
1W-0D-3L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 1-0 HT 1-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
28.09.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
03.02.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 HT 0-2 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
02.02.2019 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
2-1
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg edged past AFC Amsterdamsche 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 54% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 46%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for SV Spakenburg and 1.50 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

SV Spakenburg 2-1 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 45%, draw 26%, AFC Amsterdamsche 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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