Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.18
Over
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.5pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City The Market 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.22/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/1.55
-19% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-2 HT 1-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
23.11.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 2-1 HT 0-1 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
16.12.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 0-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
2-1
AWAY Jong Almere City
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC edged past Jong Almere City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Koninklijke HFC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 50% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 50%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Koninklijke HFC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 1.00 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Almere City?

Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 38%, draw 26%, Jong Almere City 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koninklijke HFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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