Jong Almere City 1-2 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.24/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.89
+59% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 2-1 HT 0-1 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
16.12.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 0-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Almere City
1-2
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC squeezed past Jong Almere City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jong Almere City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Jong Almere City had 59% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 41%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Koninklijke HFC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jong Almere City and 1.50 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs Koninklijke HFC?

Jong Almere City 1-2 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 50%, draw 25%, Koninklijke HFC 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Almere City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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