Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 ACV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY ACV EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.50/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.40
-12% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-0D-1L
AWAY ACV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 ACV 0-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
16.12.2023 ACV 3-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-1
AWAY ACV
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis and ACV couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 49% of the ball to ACV's 51%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.50 for ACV.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs ACV?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs ACV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 36%, draw 28%, ACV 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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