GVVV 2-1 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 50%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.26/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.65
-7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
0W-0D-3L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.24 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
334 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.11.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-1 HT 1-0 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
24.02.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 HT 1-0 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
19.10.2019 GVVV GVVV 1-3 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
2-1
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GVVV vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV nicked a narrow win over AFC Amsterdamsche 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, GVVV had 50% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 50%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GVVV and 2.67 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of GVVV vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

GVVV 2-1 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split GVVV 30%, draw 20%, AFC Amsterdamsche 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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