HHC Hardenberg 1-2 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
33%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
50%
Away Win
43%
+7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 48%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.00/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.02
-31% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Katwijk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.11.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 1-0 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
16.12.2023 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
1-2
AWAY Katwijk
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk edged past HHC Hardenberg 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 65% of the ball to Katwijk's 35%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Katwijk led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 1.50 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs Katwijk?

HHC Hardenberg 1-2 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 27%, draw 23%, Katwijk 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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