Noordwijk 1-2 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.9pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.2pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 36%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.20/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.80
-34% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +110%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Noordwijk
1W-1D-0L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.23 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 376
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
43 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Noordwijk Noordwijk 1-0 HT 0-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOK
23.11.2024 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 2-2 HT 2-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noordwijk
1-2
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht squeezed past Noordwijk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day BVV Barendrecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Noordwijk had 54% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 46%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Noordwijk had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Noordwijk and 1.00 for BVV Barendrecht.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs BVV Barendrecht?

Noordwijk 1-2 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Noordwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 40%, draw 31%, BVV Barendrecht 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Noordwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Noordwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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