Jong Sparta 1-1 Kozakken Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over Pick
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
36%
4-5
32%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozakken Boys The Market 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.31/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.92
+35% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kozakken Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 1-0 HT 1-0 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
1-1
AWAY Kozakken Boys
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Kozakken Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta and Kozakken Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 61% of the ball to Kozakken Boys's 39%, shots finished 19-15.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Kozakken Boys?

Jong Sparta 1-1 Kozakken Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Kozakken Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 40%, draw 21%, Kozakken Boys 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Sparta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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