ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-3 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -62%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 237
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
07.06.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
20.10.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
08.06.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
06.08.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
02.04.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1-3
AWAY Tochigi SC
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC got the better of ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Tochigi SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 59% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 41%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 0.50 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-3 Tochigi SC in the JAP2-3 on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 36%, draw 25%, Tochigi SC 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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