Ventforet Kofu 2-1 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
367 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2025 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
22.02.2025 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
29.10.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-2 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
27.05.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 5-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
10.09.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-3 HT 0-2 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
09.04.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-3 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
2-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
159 Passes 340
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu nicked a narrow win over Omiya Ardija 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 36% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 64%, shots finished 14-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.00 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?

Ventforet Kofu 2-1 Omiya Ardija in the JAP2-3 on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 28%, draw 24%, Omiya Ardija 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ BTTS Yes
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