KCB Nairobi 1-0 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.0pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.25/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.15
+33% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KCB Nairobi
2W-1D-0L
AWAY TransMara Sugar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 0-1 HT 0-1 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN
19.04.2025 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 1-1 HT 0-1 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN
21.12.2024 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 4-3 HT 2-1 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KCB Nairobi
1-0
AWAY TransMara Sugar
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KCB Nairobi edged past TransMara Sugar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KCB Nairobi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, KCB Nairobi had 49% of the ball to TransMara Sugar's 51%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KCB Nairobi had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KCB Nairobi and 1.33 for TransMara Sugar.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs TransMara Sugar?

KCB Nairobi 1-0 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a KCB Nairobi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 41%, draw 29%, TransMara Sugar 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KCB Nairobi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KCB Nairobi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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