Hellas Verona 0-2 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
22%
2.7
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.59
Over
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.49
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
15%
4.58
6+
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.36
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
11.4
X/1
11%
5.52
X/2
15%
7.48
X/X
8%
3.44
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
14%
5.55
2/X
7%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
33%
-11.1pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.28/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.47
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.2 Crosses 21.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cagliari
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.10 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 Passes 274
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 1-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
01.04.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
23.12.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
30.04.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 0-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
30.11.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
03.04.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-2 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
0-2
AWAY Cagliari
0.30 xG 1.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
340 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari saw off Hellas Verona 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cagliari found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 55% of the ball to Cagliari's 45%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.30 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hellas Verona and 0.50 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Cagliari?

Hellas Verona 0-2 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 40%, draw 22%, Cagliari 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hellas Verona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hellas Verona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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