Udinese 0-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.62
Over
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.51
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
22%
4.51
6+
8%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
8.19
1/2
11%
28.0
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
11%
9.28
X/2
8%
4.1
X/X
13%
4.27
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.37
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.02/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.82
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +25%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
223 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
16.0 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bologna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.61
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
248 Passes 428
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
28.04.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
30.12.2023 Udinese Udinese 3-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
02.04.2023 Bologna Bologna 3-0 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
15.01.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
24.04.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-2 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
0-0
AWAY Bologna
0.50 xG 1.64
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
154 Passes 362
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese and Bologna fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Udinese had 35% of the ball to Bologna's 65%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.50 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Udinese and 1.50 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Bologna?

Udinese 0-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Udinese 29%, draw 24%, Bologna 47%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bologna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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