Godoy Cruz 1-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.3
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.3 — our 42% vs market 35.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.54
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
11%
6.2
X/X
15%
3.79
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
14%
4.9
2/X
10%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.9pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.35/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.37
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.1 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
230 Passes 241
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
14.06.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-1 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
28.06.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
28.07.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
19.08.2019 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
03.11.2018 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.21 xG 0.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
174 Passes 341
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz edged past Atletico Tucuman 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Godoy Cruz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 39% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 61%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.21 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Godoy Cruz and 1.17 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Tucuman?

Godoy Cruz 1-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 38%, draw 32%, Atletico Tucuman 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Godoy Cruz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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