Lanus 1-0 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
6.56
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.29
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
18.75
X/1
17%
3.71
X/2
10%
10.65
X/X
18%
3.63
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
6%
10.75
2/X
5%
21.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+5.5pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.69/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.28
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 67%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
24.0 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
0W-5D-1L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2019 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
21.04.2018 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
15.04.2017 Lanus Lanus 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
29.02.2016 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-2 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
12.08.2015 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-1 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
26.05.2013 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 3-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1-0
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.30 xG 0.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
312 Passes 299
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lanus vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus edged past San Martin San Juan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Lanus had 50% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 50%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.30 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lanus and 1.33 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Lanus vs San Martin San Juan?

Lanus 1-0 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lanus 48%, draw 31%, San Martin San Juan 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
28 Apr 2025
01:00 Instituto Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento Analysis →
03:15 Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra Analysis →
21:00 Barracas Central vs Union Santa Fe Analysis →
23:15 Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Tucuman Analysis →