Instituto Cordoba 1-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.76
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
14%
4.24
X/2
7%
7.87
X/X
17%
3.78
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
9%
7.06
2/X
9%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.3pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -15%
1.48/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.29
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 68%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
26.3 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 146
76% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-2 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
30.01.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
17.02.2020 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.51 xG 0.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
369 Passes 114
82% Pass Accuracy 59%
36 Box Touches 11
39 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba and CA Sarmiento shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Instituto Cordoba at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 70% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 30%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.51 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 1.00 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento?

Instituto Cordoba 1-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 45%, draw 33%, CA Sarmiento 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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