CA Sarmiento 1-2 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.8
X/1
11%
6.61
X/2
17%
4.27
X/X
15%
3.39
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.18
2/X
9%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.19 xG 0.70
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
140 Passes 364
60% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
17.02.2020 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
1-2
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.23 xG 1.18
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
152 Passes 307
59% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba edged past CA Sarmiento 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Instituto Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 39% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 61%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.23 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CA Sarmiento had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Sarmiento and 0.50 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Instituto Cordoba?

CA Sarmiento 1-2 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 27%, draw 33%, Instituto Cordoba 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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