Godoy Cruz 0-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 33% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
17%
3.94
X/2
10%
9.9
X/X
15%
4.53
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
12%
8.11
2/X
5%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +8%
1.34/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.23
-11% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
21.0 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
245 Passes 172
68% Pass Accuracy 59%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.01.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-1 HT 0-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
17.09.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 3-1 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
07.05.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 3-1 HT 2-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
0-1
AWAY Barracas Central
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
293 Passes 159
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central edged past Godoy Cruz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Godoy Cruz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 60% of the ball to Barracas Central's 40%, shots finished 26-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barracas Central led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Godoy Cruz and 2.00 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Barracas Central?

Godoy Cruz 0-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 44%, draw 28%, Barracas Central 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Godoy Cruz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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