Independiente 1-3 Talleres Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.16
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.96
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
14%
4.25
X/2
9%
6.89
X/X
13%
3.79
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
9%
5.82
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.40/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.46
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.4 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
243 Passes 284
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2024 Independiente Independiente 2-2 HT 2-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
27.11.2023 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 3-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
29.01.2023 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
28.09.2022 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJK
11.06.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 1-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
13.12.2021 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
1-3
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
0.39 xG 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
249 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Talleres Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talleres Cordoba got the better of Independiente 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente had 43% of the ball to Talleres Cordoba's 57%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.39 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente and 1.00 for Talleres Cordoba.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Talleres Cordoba?

Independiente 1-3 Talleres Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Talleres Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Independiente 46%, draw 29%, Talleres Cordoba 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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