Huracan 3-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 37% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
13%
4.29
X/2
13%
7.58
X/X
17%
3.91
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
8%
6.2
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.8pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huracan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.49/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.36
+16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
23.0 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huracan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.46
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
180 Passes 409
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-4 HT 1-2 Huracan Huracan ARJ
15.06.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 1-1 Huracan Huracan ARJ
18.07.2021 Huracan Huracan 2-1 HT 1-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
14.02.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-2 HT 2-1 Huracan Huracan ARJ
21.09.2019 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-1 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
04.12.2018 Huracan Huracan 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huracan
3-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.63 xG 0.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
315 Passes 338
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Huracan vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huracan saw off Defensa y Justicia 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Huracan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huracan had 47% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 53%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.63 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huracan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Huracan and 1.33 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Huracan vs Defensa y Justicia?

Huracan 3-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huracan vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huracan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Huracan 43%, draw 30%, Defensa y Justicia 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huracan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huracan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
11 May 2024
01:00 CA Sarmiento vs Instituto Cordoba Analysis →
03:15 Newells Old Boys vs Platense Analysis →
03:15 Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central Analysis →
21:30 Godoy Cruz vs Barracas Central Analysis →
23:30 Independiente vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →