Argentinos Juniors 3-2 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
15%
3.88
X/2
8%
8.21
X/X
15%
3.64
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
10%
7.44
2/X
9%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.49/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.55
+31% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 68%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.5 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
358 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-0 HT 2-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
29.10.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 2-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
28.01.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
09.09.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-1 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
03.10.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
16.02.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 2-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3-2
AWAY Rosario Central
1.46 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
396 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors nicked a narrow win over Rosario Central 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 60% of the ball to Rosario Central's 40%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.46 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 1.17 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central?

Argentinos Juniors 3-2 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 48%, draw 30%, Rosario Central 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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