CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.58/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.40
-4% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
30.08.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
04.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0-1
AWAY Botev Vratsa
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa edged past CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA 1948 Sofia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 58% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 42%, shots finished 24-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.00 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 48%, draw 26%, Botev Vratsa 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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