Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Septemvri Sofia v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Septemvri Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Septemvri Sofia saw off Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 45% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 55%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.67 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Septemvri Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 32%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) went the other way.