Aalborg 0-1 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.03
Over
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No Pick
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.03
2-3
38%
1.89
4-5
24%
3.22
6+
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.03 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.31
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.57
X/2
8%
6.52
X/X
13%
5.02
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
21%
4.22
2/X
10%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.54/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.14
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.7 Crosses 21.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Vejle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 0.71
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
368 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
03.11.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 3-3 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
04.10.2024 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
06.03.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
16.08.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
19.05.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
0-1
AWAY Vejle
1.02 xG 0.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
267 Passes 288
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle edged past Aalborg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Vejle made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aalborg had 50% of the ball to Vejle's 50%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.02 to 0.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aalborg.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aalborg and 1.17 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Vejle?

Aalborg 0-1 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vejle win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 35%, draw 28%, Vejle 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vejle), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vejle) ✓ BTTS No
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