Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.04/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.34
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
19.7 Crosses 14.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Millonarios
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.71 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.10.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLK
02.10.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
21.07.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
23.05.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.05.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
29.01.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
0-2
AWAY Millonarios
1.57 xG 2.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
370 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 7
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios got the better of Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Bucaramanga at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 61% of the ball to Millonarios's 39%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.57 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.33 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Millonarios?

Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 44%, draw 31%, Millonarios 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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