FC Juarez 1-1 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.35
6+ Goals
12%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.16
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
13%
13.4
X/1
11%
5.77
X/2
10%
5.61
X/X
10%
3.92
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.98
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.26/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.23
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.7 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
235 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
18.07.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
14.01.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
23.08.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 4-1 HT 3-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
08.01.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
01.10.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-1 HT 2-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
1-1
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.44 xG 0.76
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
354 Passes 129
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
11 Box Touches 14
43 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez and Pumas UNAM shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Juarez had 69% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 31%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.44 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Juarez and 1.17 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM?

FC Juarez 1-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 34%, draw 29%, Pumas UNAM 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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