Managua 1-2 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.41/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.07
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2024 Managua Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
22.09.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-0 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
15.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 2-0 Managua Managua CONOAK
04.03.2024 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
15.12.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
09.11.2023 Managua Managua 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Managua vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli squeezed past Managua 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Real Esteli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Managua and 2.17 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Managua vs Real Esteli?

Managua 1-2 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Managua 33%, draw 30%, Real Esteli 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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