ADT 2-1 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

ADT
2-1 HT 0-1
Cusco FC
📅28/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.62/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.19
+8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
25.0 Crosses 19.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Cusco FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
258 Passes 283
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2024 ADT ADT 1-2 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
15.04.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-2 HT 2-2 ADT ADT PER
02.09.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
16.04.2023 ADT ADT 0-2 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-1
AWAY Cusco FC
2.33 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
25 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
361 Passes 339
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
44 Box Touches 17
37 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADT vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT edged past Cusco FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day ADT made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, ADT had 52% of the ball to Cusco FC's 48%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 2.33 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADT's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cusco FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ADT and 2.00 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of ADT vs Cusco FC?

ADT 2-1 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ADT 40%, draw 26%, Cusco FC 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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