Universitario 6-0 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.1pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.6pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.78/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.76
+9% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
22.9 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.99 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
375 Passes 208
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2024 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
24.02.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
03.10.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
28.05.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
28.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
04.07.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
6-0
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
4.10 xG 0.61
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
378 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario swept aside UTC Cajamarca 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Universitario had 61% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 39%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 4.10 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario and 0.33 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?

Universitario 6-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Universitario 66%, draw 19%, UTC Cajamarca 16%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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