Benfica II 0-0 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.23
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.38
6+
11%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra The Market 29%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.54/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.47
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mafra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 327
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2024 Mafra Mafra 2-0 HT 2-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
20.01.2024 Mafra Mafra 1-2 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
13.08.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 3-2 HT 2-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
01.04.2023 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
18.10.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 5-1 HT 4-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
02.04.2022 Mafra Mafra 2-1 HT 2-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II and Mafra fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica II and 1.50 for Mafra.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Mafra?

Benfica II 0-0 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 44%, draw 28%, Mafra 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ BTTS Yes
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POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
28 Apr 2025
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