Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.16
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.1
2-3 Goals
39%
2.18
4-5 Goals
30%
2.3
6+ Goals
14%
4.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
1%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
1%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
81%
-4.2pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.6pp
6%
Away Win
6%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.63/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.36
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
459 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 76%
40.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
23.8 Crosses 11.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Damac FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.07 xG 0.85
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
469 Passes 227
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2026 Damac FC Damac FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
08.02.2025 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
28.08.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
16.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
21.09.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
19.05.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
1-0
AWAY Damac FC
1.77 xG 0.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 2
495 Passes 295
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
45 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Damac FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 62% of the ball to Damac FC's 38%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.77 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.00 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC?

Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 77%, draw 17%, Damac FC 6%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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