Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.9pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.66/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.67
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.5 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.81 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
400 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2026 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
01.05.2025 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-1 HT 3-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
05.12.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
15.12.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
1-1
AWAY Al Fateh
2.17 xG 1.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
399 Passes 249
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh and Al Fateh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Riyadh at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 59% of the ball to Al Fateh's 41%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.17 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.83 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 44%, draw 22%, Al Fateh 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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