Petrojet 1-2 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 35% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrojet EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +27%
1.11/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.16
-5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.4 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrojet
2W-1D-0L
AWAY El Gounah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.93 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
283 Passes 196
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2026 El Gounah El Gounah 1-3 HT 0-1 Petrojet Petrojet MSRLK
17.09.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
26.12.2024 Petrojet Petrojet 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrojet
1-2
AWAY El Gounah
0.32 xG 1.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
108 Passes 300
13 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Petrojet vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah squeezed past Petrojet 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Petrojet at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrojet had 43% of the ball to El Gounah's 57%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.32 to 1.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold El Gounah's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Petrojet had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Petrojet and 0.67 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Petrojet vs El Gounah?

Petrojet 1-2 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrojet vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrojet win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Petrojet 43%, draw 29%, El Gounah 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Petrojet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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