San Francisco City FC 4-4 Marin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.66
No
37%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.7pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.2pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.3pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Francisco City FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Marin EU Bookmakers 14%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.81/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.92
-31% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Francisco City FC
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Marin
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2025 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Marin Marin USL2
05.06.2025 Marin Marin 0-3 HT 0-0 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC USL2
08.07.2024 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Marin Marin USL2
02.07.2023 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Marin Marin USL2
30.06.2022 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Marin Marin USL2
POST-MATCH San Francisco City FC vs Marin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Francisco City FC and Marin couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 0-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had San Francisco City FC at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Francisco City FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for San Francisco City FC and 1.00 for Marin.

What was the final score of San Francisco City FC vs Marin?

San Francisco City FC 4-4 Marin in the USA - USL League 2 on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Francisco City FC vs Marin?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Francisco City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split San Francisco City FC 63%, draw 16%, Marin 21%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Francisco City FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Francisco City FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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