Suwon City 1-2 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.15
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
11%
5.5
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
12%
32.0
2/2
11%
3.75
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.43
+35% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.1 Crosses 21.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gangwon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
396 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
09.11.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 4-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
01.09.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
15.06.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
05.05.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
25.11.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-2
AWAY Gangwon
47% Ball Possession 53%
25 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 337
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon nicked a narrow win over Suwon City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Suwon City had 47% of the ball to Gangwon's 53%, shots finished 25-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Suwon City and 1.50 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gangwon?

Suwon City 1-2 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 41%, draw 30%, Gangwon 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
28 Jun 2025
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