Ogre United 1-0 Riga FC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
8.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.49
+150% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Riga FC II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.08.2024 Ogre United 2-2 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
07.04.2024 Riga FC II Riga FC II 0-0 HT 0-0 Ogre United LET1
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Riga FC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United nicked a narrow win over Riga FC II 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ogre United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ogre United and 1.00 for Riga FC II.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Riga FC II?

Ogre United 1-0 Riga FC II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Riga FC II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 58%, draw 25%, Riga FC II 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ogre United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ogre United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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