JFK Ventspils 2-2 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.4pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.85/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.50
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Skanste
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.10.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-2 Skanste Skanste LET1
29.06.2024 Skanste Skanste 3-0 HT 3-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
12.11.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-1 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils and Skanste shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. JFK Ventspils carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for JFK Ventspils and 2.00 for Skanste.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Skanste?

JFK Ventspils 2-2 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 58%, draw 23%, Skanste 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JFK Ventspils) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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