Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Raja Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 58%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
0.59/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.00
-34% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ittihad Tanger
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Raja Casablanca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2026 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-0 HT 1-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
23.01.2025 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-1 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
25.09.2024 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 3-1 HT 3-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
28.05.2024 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-2 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
28.12.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 6-1 HT 3-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
21.05.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
POST-MATCH Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ittihad Tanger and Raja Casablanca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Raja Casablanca at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ittihad Tanger and 2.00 for Raja Casablanca.

What was the final score of Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca?

Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Raja Casablanca in the Morocco - League on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ittihad Tanger 25%, draw 29%, Raja Casablanca 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Raja Casablanca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5
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