Kauno Zalgiris II 0-1 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.9
Over 2.5
37%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
49%
+14.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
51%
-14.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.51/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.71
+20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2W-0D-3L
AWAY BFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.08.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
28.03.2025 BFA BFA 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
26.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 BFA BFA LIT1
21.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
01.04.2023 BFA BFA 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0-1
AWAY BFA
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 44% of the ball to BFA's 56%, shots finished 2-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, BFA led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.20 for BFA.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs BFA?

Kauno Zalgiris II 0-1 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 31%, draw 26%, BFA 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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