Sotra SK 1-3 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 27% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.69/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.97
-12% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sotra SK
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Jerv
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Jerv Jerv 2-0 HT 1-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
08.06.2025 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-1 HT 2-0 Jerv Jerv NOR3
07.07.2024 Jerv Jerv 1-1 HT 0-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
27.04.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-2 HT 0-2 Jerv Jerv NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sotra SK
1-3
AWAY Jerv
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Sotra SK vs Jerv
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jerv beat Sotra SK 3-1 away from home in the Norway - 2nd Division on 28 Jun 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sotra SK had 49% of the ball to Jerv's 51%, shots finished 17-14.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jerv lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sotra SK and 1.50 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Jerv?

Sotra SK 1-3 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 45%, draw 24%, Jerv 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sotra SK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
28 Jun 2026
15:00 Skeid vs Trygg/Lade Analysis →
16:00 Stjordals-Blink vs Junkeren Analysis →
16:00 Follo vs Levanger Analysis →