Hammarby 3-0 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Jul 2024

Hammarby
3-0 HT 0-0
Mjallby
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hammarby vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 30% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.82
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.85
X/2
14%
6.95
X/X
12%
5.16
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
16%
4.66
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.39/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.24
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.9 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Hammarby vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mjallby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.54 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
404 Passes 337
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
04.03.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK
27.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-3 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
09.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.03.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK
16.10.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 0-3 HT 0-3 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ

Hammarby 3-0 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
3-0
AWAY Mjallby
2.15 xG 0.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
462 Passes 322
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby swept aside Mjallby 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hammarby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hammarby had 58% of the ball to Mjallby's 42%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.15 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hammarby and 0.83 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Mjallby?

Hammarby 3-0 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 38%, draw 25%, Mjallby 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ BTTS No
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