St. Gallen 4-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 28 Jul 2024

St. Gallen
4-0 HT 2-0
Young Boys
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

St. Gallen vs Young Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.86
2-3 Goals
42%
2.05
4-5 Goals
23%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.21
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.79
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
10%
5.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
2/2
16%
3.54
2/X
10%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.0pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Gallen v Young Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.59/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.33
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.5 Crosses 22.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

St. Gallen vs Young Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Young Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.53 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
236 Passes 275
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 3-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
07.04.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
09.12.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
27.09.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
06.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-2 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
12.02.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV

St. Gallen 4-0 Young Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
4-0
AWAY Young Boys
2.84 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
249 Passes 339
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen cruised past Young Boys 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; St. Gallen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Gallen had 44% of the ball to Young Boys's 56%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.84 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Gallen and 2.67 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Young Boys?

St. Gallen 4-0 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 39%, draw 25%, Young Boys 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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