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Avustralya (K) vs Zambiya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avustralya (K) v Zambiya (K) — Team-Based Signals
Avustralya (K) 6-5 Zambiya (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Avustralya (K) nicked a narrow win over Zambiya (K) 6-5. It was 2-4 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avustralya (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 6-5 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Avustralya (K) had 66% of the ball to Zambiya (K)'s 34%, shots finished 27-25, expected goals 4.98 to 1.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Avustralya (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Avustralya (K) vs Zambiya (K)?
Avustralya (K) 6-5 Zambiya (K) in the Olympics on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avustralya (K) vs Zambiya (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Avustralya (K) 65%, draw 19%, Zambiya (K) 16%. The final score 6-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.