Elfsborg 4-3 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.15
Over
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.35
2-3
44%
1.93
4-5
24%
3.07
6+
11%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.36
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
22%
5.73
X/2
13%
6.43
X/X
13%
5.23
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
11%
4.02
2/X
9%
12.5
Value flag · X/1 at 5.73 — our 22% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg The Market 37%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.54/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.37
+56% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
21.7 Crosses 21.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Göteborg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
307 Passes 278
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 Göteborg Göteborg 1-2 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
25.08.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.06.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
30.10.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
16.07.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-3 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
4-3
AWAY Göteborg
1.43 xG 2.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
272 Passes 186
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 21
35 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Elfsborg vs Göteborg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Elfsborg edged past Göteborg 4-3. From 1-3 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. A 7-goal game — the defences never settled.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in Elfsborg's favour, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.43 to 2.19 — by the quality of chances, Göteborg deserved more.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Elfsborg against 1.00 for Göteborg.

Elfsborg vs Göteborg Result & Final Score

Elfsborg 4-3 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Elfsborg vs Göteborg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 41%, draw 27%, Göteborg 32%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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